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EUR/USD retreats to 1.0750 as USD recovers
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades slightly below 1.0750 in the European session on Wednesday. Hawkish comments from Fed officials help the US Dollar stay resilient and don't allow the pair to stage a rebound.
GBP/USD drops below 1.2500 ahead of Thursday's BoE event
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory below 1.2500 after losing nearly 0.5% on Tuesday. The renewed US Dollar strength on hawkish Fed comments weighs on the pair as market focus shifts to the BoE's policy announcements on Thursday.
Gold price trades with mild positive bias, despite a firmer US Dollar
Gold price attracts some buyers during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Safe-haven demand, fueled by geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, as well as ongoing central bank purchases, might contribute to a rally in gold.
Ethereum resume sideways move as Grayscale files to withdraw Ethereum futures ETF application with the SEC
Ethereum is hinting at a resumption of a sideways movement on Tuesday after seeing inflows for the first time in seven weeks. Grayscale withdrew its application for an Ethereum futures ETF, and the SEC’s Chair Gary Gensler has also called most crypto assets securities.
No obvious macro catalysts to steer the bus
The US data calendar remains relatively light, with initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan survey being the key focus. However, these releases may not provide a significant catalyst for the next directional move in the US Dollar.
DEEPER DIVE
US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization
Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture.
Building the future
There is a construction boom underway that is quietly transforming the production capabilities and other aspects of the US economy. The fastest-growing category within nonresidential construction in recent years has been manufacturing.
Addressing the public debt challenge in the EU
Recently an agreement has been reached between representatives of the European Council, the European Parliament, and the European Commission on a new economic governance framework.
FXS Signals
Technical Confluences Detector
XAU/USD eases toward $2,310 amid a better market mood Premium
Spot Gold retreated from the $2,330 price zone and trades in the red on Tuesday, although still confined to familiar levels. The slide can be attributed to a better market mood, as European indexes closed with substantial gains. The lack of momentum, however, resulted from United States (US) indexes consonsolidating around weekly highs yet showing little signs of life. Gains among US indexes are modest, as investors lack a clear directional catalyst.
The United States session included a speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari, who said that the most likely scenario is that interest rates will stay on hold for an extended period.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Ethereum resume sideways move as Grayscale files to withdraw Ethereum futures ETF application with the SEC
Grayscale has withdrawn its 19b-4 application for an Ethereum futures ETF. SEC Chair Gensler says several crypto assets are securities as he waives off ETH classification question. Ethereum could sustain horizontal movement in the coming weeks.
FTX files consensus-based plan of reorganization, awaits bankruptcy court approval
98% of creditors receive at least 118% of allowed claims within sixty days of effectiveness, others get billions in compensation. Plan would resolve disputes with government and private stakeholders without costly and protracted litigation.
Solana FireDancer validator launches documentation website, SOL price holds 23% weekly gains
Solana FireDancer validator has debuted, meant to replicate Solana’s functionality but with higher performance. Built from the ground up for performance, FireDancer advertises speed, security, and independence.
Bitcoin price may see further upside, Standard Chartered says, citing looser regulation and US spot ETFs
Bitcoin could benefit from US fiscal dominance and Trump winning, Standard Chartered says, citing loser regulation and spot ETF approvals. Hong Kong issuers told WuBlockchain that the government prohibits sale of virtual asset-related products to mainland Chinese.
THE STOCK OF THE DAY
RIVN stock caves after early Tuesday surge Premium
Rivian stock couldn’t hold onto bulls’ initial buying spree on Tuesday ahead of its quarterly earnings call after the close. Rivian stock opened more than 8% higher on Tuesday but quickly shed those price levels and is trading flat at the time of writing.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: Optimism prevailed, hurting US Dollar demand Premium
The EUR/USD pair advanced for a third consecutive week, accumulating a measly 160 pips in that period. The pair trades around 1.0760 ahead of the close after tumultuous headlines failed to trigger a clear directional path.
GBP/USD: Recovering ahead of BoE, UK GDP data Premium
The British Pound (GBP) extended its march north against the US Dollar (USD) throughout the week, motivating GBP/USD to break above the 1.2600 figure for the first time since mid-April.
US Dollar: Less-hawkish Fed, Nonfarm Payrolls miss weigh on the Greenback Premium
A marked pullback during the week prompted the US Dollar (USD) to retreat to the area of three-week lows in the mid-104.00s when tracked by the USD Index (DXY) soon after the US NFP came in below expectations in April.
Gold: XAU/USD bears take action on mixed signals from US economy Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) price fell more than 2% for the second consecutive week, erased a small portion of its losses but finally came under renewed bearish pressure. The near-term technical outlook points to a loss of bullish momentum as the market focus shifts to Fedspeak.
Bitcoin: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.
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